Israel prefers a weakned Assad shia regime linked with sectarian Iran

The Israel-Iran-Hezbollah axis in Syria

It truly is not easy to understand the Middle East. There are three important factors that have helped bring the region to its current point: Iran, Israel and certain kingdoms under the protection of great global powers. Some of the countries that both economically and ideologically nourish the al-Qaeda organization — a group that has struck a serious blow to the image of Islam on a global scale�are actually working in very close cooperation with America, which has declared al-Qaeda its main enemy. Every year, America sells these countries billions of dollars worth of weapons, all in the name of ensuring their place under an umbrella of protection. Some of America�s most important military bases can be found on the soil of these countries.

As for Iran and its Shiite extensions — all at the heart of the Islamic world — they are trying to implement projects with huge implications for the future in an effort to be strong in the face of the fast-democratizing Sunni Islamic world.

In the same way, Israel is trying to take precautions against the new direction the Middle East is taking.

The total population of the Middle East surpasses 800 million people. Approximately 85 percent of this population is Sunni, while the rest is Shiite. The Jewish population in this area does not even account for 1 percent of the total. The Shiite fortress of Iran is neighbors with strong Sunni countries such as Pakistan, Afghanistan and Turkey. Iran, which has various problems in its relations with these countries, is trying to reach out across Iraq in patronage to Shiite minorities living in countries bordering the Basra Gulf, thus creating a Shiite crescent and in this way challenge and face up to the Sunni world.

The other solitary country in the region is Israel, which in a similar way to Iran is trying to create a buffer zone that will help it stay on its feet. As it strikes up close contacts with the Bedouin populations on the Sinai Peninsula, Israel is also closely following the developments unfolding in Syria. It is simply not possible that Israel will remain silent in regard to what is occurring all around it these days.

Judging from the general layout of this landscape, it seems that Iran and Israel should actually be in alliance. After all, what lies in front of them is a Sunni Islamic world, a world with which they are each at odds, from every possible angle. Instead though, Iran and Israel are engaged in a war of words with the intent to try and eliminate one another. While Iran threatens Israel with complete destruction, Israel tries to persuade the US to give it permission to strike at its sworn enemy�s nuclear facilities.

What we are watching is actually complete theater. For Israel to strike Iran or for Iran to try and wipe Israel off the map would benefit no one more than the Sunni Islamic world. And why, one has to ask, would either of these countries do such a tremendous favor for its long-abiding enemies?

The most recent developments in Syria made it crystal clear just how much all these words and hostile policies are really all part of a dramatic act.

Hezbollah, which has staked its position next to the bloody regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in fighting the opposition aiming to overturn this regime, says that the goal of Iraqi and Iranian Shiites is to save the Golan Heights. In fact, until recently, Hezbollah was asserting that its militants killed by Syrian opposition forces were actually killed in clashes with Israel in order to reduce negative reaction from the Islamic world.

When the true colors of the Hezbollah and other Shiite militants began to emerge, they took up their positions with Assad. And now, on almost every front, Assad�s own Shabbiha forces fight next to Hezbollah and other Shiite armed militants. Israel, which believes like so many other countries that Assad eventually will go, is, in the meantime trying to turn the shape of the new Syrian map being drawn to its own advantage.

A splintered Syria would benefit Israel just as much as it would Hezbollah and Iran�s other minions. So, as the Syrian opposition tightens its grip around Assad�s throat, it can be nothing other than a theater play unfolding when we watch as Israel and Hezbollah — whose interests completely overlap in this country –threaten each other over Syrian soil. After all, whatever Alevi or Druze mini-states might be formed in the aftermath of a splintered Syria would not only prevent Syria from being a threat to both Hezbollah and Israel, but would also give them much more breathing space.

Provocative strikes from Syria on Israel, or moves made by Israel against Syrian missiles, must never be perceived as being for the good of Syria. Neither Israel nor Hezbollah would ever make a move that would be for the benefit of Syria.

from by (CUMALİ �NAL)

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